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Gasoline and Diesel Surge on Tight Supply

OIL PRODUCTS

Draws in the EIA data yesterday added fuel to the bull rally in refined products as the production increase from OPEC+ does little to ease the tight markets. After surging yesterday US cracks have eased back this morning

  • US 321 crack down -0.72$/bbl at 60.08$/bbl
  • US gasoline crack down -0.57$/bbl at 59.61$/bbl
  • US ULSD crack down -1.01$/bbl at 61.01$/bbl
  • Brent FCC margin down -0.24$/bbl at 24.97$/bbl
  • Gasoline-Brent up 0.06$/bbl at 46.94$/bbl
  • Gasoil-Brent up 0.13$/bbl at 42.53$/bbl
  • Even if OPEC+ can meet production targets and increase supply in the coming couple of months, the lack of refining capacity will limit any extra gasoline and diesel supply. EIA data currently shows gasoline stocks 6.2% below the bottom of the 5-year range and distillate stocks 15.4% below.
  • Below shows the price progression of US and European crack over the last year

Source: MNI / Bloomberg

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