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GERMANY: 2/3 Of Voters Want Quick Snap Elections-ARD

GERMANY
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Opinion polling from state broadcaster ARD and Infratest dimap shows nearly two-thirds of respondents in favour of snap elections taking place as quickly as possible to end Germany's political paralysis. These findings could place more pressure on Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who has outlined his plans for a January confidence vote in the Bundestag resulting in a March federal election. On 7 Nov Freidrich Merz, leader of the main opposition conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU), and Christian Lindner, erstwhile finance minister and head of the pro-business liberal Free Democrats (FDP), both called for an immediate confidence vote to allow for an election in January 2025.

  • The opinion poll showed 65% of respondents in favour of elections 'at the earliest point in time', with 33% backing Scholz's March 2025 timeline. Respondents in the poll laid the blame for the collapse of the 'traffic light' coalition at the feet of the FDP, blamed by 40% of respondents compared to 26% saying it was the fault of the environmentalist Greens and 19% Scholz's centre-left Social Democrats (SPD).
  • The power remains with the chancellor on the timing of a vote. The opposition can only call a 'constructive confidence vote' where they need an overall majority for a new chancellor candidate to remove the incumbent.
  • Nevertheless, dragging the process out risks a public backlash against Scholz's SPD that could give the party an even weaker hand in coalition negotiations post-election. 
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Opinion polling from state broadcaster ARD and Infratest dimap shows nearly two-thirds of respondents in favour of snap elections taking place as quickly as possible to end Germany's political paralysis. These findings could place more pressure on Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who has outlined his plans for a January confidence vote in the Bundestag resulting in a March federal election. On 7 Nov Freidrich Merz, leader of the main opposition conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU), and Christian Lindner, erstwhile finance minister and head of the pro-business liberal Free Democrats (FDP), both called for an immediate confidence vote to allow for an election in January 2025.

  • The opinion poll showed 65% of respondents in favour of elections 'at the earliest point in time', with 33% backing Scholz's March 2025 timeline. Respondents in the poll laid the blame for the collapse of the 'traffic light' coalition at the feet of the FDP, blamed by 40% of respondents compared to 26% saying it was the fault of the environmentalist Greens and 19% Scholz's centre-left Social Democrats (SPD).
  • The power remains with the chancellor on the timing of a vote. The opposition can only call a 'constructive confidence vote' where they need an overall majority for a new chancellor candidate to remove the incumbent.
  • Nevertheless, dragging the process out risks a public backlash against Scholz's SPD that could give the party an even weaker hand in coalition negotiations post-election.