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Free AccessGermany comes to auction.....>
GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW: Germany comes to auction for the second time this week
on Wednesday, re-opening Apr-24 Bobl for up to E3bln.
- BACKGROUND: At the last sale of Apr-24 Bobl on May 8, Germany allotted E2.4bln
at average yield of -0.46%, Buba cover of 1.6x, and real bid-to-cover 1.29x.
- RV/HISTORY: The yield on the 5-Yr benchmark has fallen by over 12bps over the
past month as the German curve has rallied. At -0.546% yield as of May 28 (per
Tradeweb data), yields are the lowest since March 2017 and if they continue
dropping at this pace then the -0.635% record low from June 2016 will soon be
within reach. The rally in equivalent EUR swaps has not quite kept pace, with
the spread widening by 3bps to 47.5bps. This has come alongside significant
flattening in the German curve since the last Bobl auction, including 2Y5Y
spread down 5bps to narrowest levels (10.3bps) since Sep 2016 and also 1Y5Y
briefly inverting for the first time since that month.
- POSITIONING: Bobl futures positioning was long coming into this week,
according to MNI's Pi methodology.
- TIMING: Auction results are due out around 1030 UK time.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.