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GERMANY: SPD Co-Leader: Merz Stance On Debt Brake 'Good Starting Point'

GERMANY

Speaking on a podcast for the Handelsblatt newspaper, centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) co-leader Lars Klingbeil has said that the stance of conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) leader Friedrich Merz towards potential debt brake reform is a 'good starting point'. Klingbeil sought to impress that there is even the potential for reform before the early federal election, likely to take place 23 February. Klingbeil: "We don't have to wait until there is a new government in April, May or June, when we don't even know whether we will have the necessary majorities in the Bundestag (lower house of parliament) with a two-thirds majority,"

  • There has been significant political and market focus on Merz's comments in recent days. On 13 Nov, Merz indicated that the debt brake could be reformed. He mentioned the 20 articles of the 'Basic Law' that cannot be altered but said "Everything else can of course be discussed," before caveating that any changes to the debt brake would only be to boost investment and growth, rather than increasing social spending.
  • Klingbeil's comments regarding reforming the debt brake pre-election are unlikely to come to fruition. Speaking earlier on 15 Nov, Merz said all policy discussions would have to wait until after the 16 Dec confidence vote in the minority gov't of Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
  • With the gov't expected to fall in the confidence vote, President Frank-Walter Steinmeier will then have 21 days to dissolve the Bundestag, almost certainly not enough time to wrangle a two-thirds agreement on reform to the debt brake. 
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Speaking on a podcast for the Handelsblatt newspaper, centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) co-leader Lars Klingbeil has said that the stance of conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) leader Friedrich Merz towards potential debt brake reform is a 'good starting point'. Klingbeil sought to impress that there is even the potential for reform before the early federal election, likely to take place 23 February. Klingbeil: "We don't have to wait until there is a new government in April, May or June, when we don't even know whether we will have the necessary majorities in the Bundestag (lower house of parliament) with a two-thirds majority,"

  • There has been significant political and market focus on Merz's comments in recent days. On 13 Nov, Merz indicated that the debt brake could be reformed. He mentioned the 20 articles of the 'Basic Law' that cannot be altered but said "Everything else can of course be discussed," before caveating that any changes to the debt brake would only be to boost investment and growth, rather than increasing social spending.
  • Klingbeil's comments regarding reforming the debt brake pre-election are unlikely to come to fruition. Speaking earlier on 15 Nov, Merz said all policy discussions would have to wait until after the 16 Dec confidence vote in the minority gov't of Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
  • With the gov't expected to fall in the confidence vote, President Frank-Walter Steinmeier will then have 21 days to dissolve the Bundestag, almost certainly not enough time to wrangle a two-thirds agreement on reform to the debt brake.