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GfK Consumer Confidence Dips as Uncertainty Increases

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY JUL GFK CONSUMER CONF -25.4 (FCST -23.0); JUN -24.4r

  • Germany consumer confidence eased in the GfK July projections, dipping by one point to -25.4 against expectations of a 1.2-point uptick.
  • This breaks an eight-month streak of improvements. The index remains below Spring 2020 lockdown levels and in deeply pessimistic territory.
  • Economic and income expectations moderated, with a strengthening of the propensity to save highlighting prevailing uncertainty experienced by German consumers at present.
  • Inflation concerns remain at the forefront of weakening sentiment, alongside higher interest rates.
  • The propensity to buy indicator did gain 1.5 points in the June report, albeit remains very low and continues to signal weak purchasing activity.
  • German retail sales data due in May is expected to be flat on the month, and be around 5% lower than May 2022 levels. GfK continues to forecast no positive contribution from private consumption to German GDP in 2023.


Source: GfK

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