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Gilts are trading modestly higher,.....>

GILT SUMMARY
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts are trading modestly higher, but off opening highs as
markets trade with a risk-off tone following rise in US/China trade spat. The
10-yr part of the yield curve continues to outperform the rest of the curve.
- 2-yr Gilt yield is -2.2bp at 0.697%, 5-yr -3.5bp at 1.013%, 10-yr -4.6bp at
1.275%, 30-yr -2.5bp at 1.755% & 50-yr -2.2bp at 1.571% according to Tradeweb.
- The government was defeated once again in the House of Lords on the question
of a 'meaningful vote' on the EU Withdrawal Bill and so it will now go back to
the House of Commons on Wednesday. PM May will then have to try and convince her
rebel MPs to not back the amendment which could be harder this time.
- 2-days of Brexit negotiations get underway today with the Irish border issue
and future relationship on the agenda. However there is also talk within the EU
that the risk of the UK crashing out of the EU with no deal in March 2019 is
increasing.
- Sstg is higher/flatter, breakevens touch tighter and swap spreads mixed
- With no UK/EU data domestic politics, global trade and the ECB forum in Sintra
have been the main drivers for markets today.

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