September 20, 2024 07:34 GMT
GILTS: Away From Yesterday's Low
GILTS
Gilt futures are a little firmer this morning but still trade in the lower end of yesterday’s range, +17 at 99.93.
- A pullback in equities will be providing some support.
- The bull cycle remains in play for gilt futures, with the move away from Tuesday’s high representing a correction at this stage.
- Initial support seen at yesterday’s low (99.55), which protects the September 9 low (99.29). Initial resistance at the Sep 18 high (101.06).
- Cash gilt yields are unchanged to 2bp lower, curve bull flattens.
- Public finance data for August revealed another round of higher-than-expected government borrowing, with risks already tilted to a move higher in the gilt issuance remit that will accompany the Autumn Budget.
- Retail sales data was firmer-than-expected, although our macro team notes that the volatile nature of the data shouldn’t impact the BoE, with virtually expectations for the next rate cut to come in November.
- BoE’s Mann will speak at 09:30, we will provide further colour on her appearance shortly.
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