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Gilts look set to close modestly.......>
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts look set to close modestly higher reversing opening and
lunchtime losses, supported by soft UK and German data and move higher in US
Treasuries. The 10-yr part of the yield curve has outperformed the rest of the
- 2-yr Gilt yield is +0.2bp at 0.678%, 5-yr -1.3bp at 1.029%. 10-yr -1.8bp at
1.537%, 30-yr -0.9bp at 1.931% and 50-yr -1.2bp at 1.715%.
- Gilts opened lower, weighed by hawkish take on Jan FOMC meeting minutes, but
then reversed losses following soft German Ifo and Surprise downward revision in
UK Q4 2017 GDP.
- Gilts drifted lower just before lunchtime and pretty much traded sideways
until rally in USTs fed through to Gilts pushing them to intra-day highs.
- Volumes in the front-end of the Short sterling strip were huge today, with
heavy 2-way flow seen in Mar18, Jun18 and Sep18 contacts as markets adjust to a
possible higher path of UK interest rates. Gilt future rolls also picked up
today with nearly 190k traded through screens and another 155k blocked.
- Breakevens are tighter by between 1-1.7bps, swap spreads are little changed.
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