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GILTS: Pulling Back Alongside Peers, Still Outperforming Post-Bailey

GILTS

Gilts also pull back given the weakness in wider core global FI markets, with U.S. data weighing during the NY morning.

  • Futures never got anywhere near closing yesterday’s move lower and have traded as low as 98.15. Contract last +17 at 98.25.
  • The bearish technical threat in the contract remains evident despite today’s shallow uptick, although the prospect of a swifter BoE rate cutting cycle could change things.
  • Yesterday’s low (97.97) provides initial support, while bulls really need to overcome the Oct 1 high (99.47) to start turning the technical tide more in their favour.
  • Yields 4.5bp lower to 1bp higher, curve twist steepens.
  • 10s still 6bp tighter vs. Bunds after Bailey's dovish comments, reversing some of the recent widening which resulted in fresh '24 wides for the spread on Wednesday.
  • Comments from BoE’s Pill due tomorrow, see recent STIR comment for greater colour on that event.
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Gilts also pull back given the weakness in wider core global FI markets, with U.S. data weighing during the NY morning.

  • Futures never got anywhere near closing yesterday’s move lower and have traded as low as 98.15. Contract last +17 at 98.25.
  • The bearish technical threat in the contract remains evident despite today’s shallow uptick, although the prospect of a swifter BoE rate cutting cycle could change things.
  • Yesterday’s low (97.97) provides initial support, while bulls really need to overcome the Oct 1 high (99.47) to start turning the technical tide more in their favour.
  • Yields 4.5bp lower to 1bp higher, curve twist steepens.
  • 10s still 6bp tighter vs. Bunds after Bailey's dovish comments, reversing some of the recent widening which resulted in fresh '24 wides for the spread on Wednesday.
  • Comments from BoE’s Pill due tomorrow, see recent STIR comment for greater colour on that event.