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GLOBAL POLITICAL RISK

Modi, AMLO Top Major Economy Leader Poll, Macron Last

AUDUSD TECHS

Under Pressure

EURJPY TECHS

Trend Condition Remains Bearish

Global Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date   GMT /Local                                             Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
09-Aug 0030/1030 **  Aug    AU Westpac-MI consumer sentiment   96.6    --
09-Aug 0130/0930 *** Jul    CN CPI y/y                          1.5   1.6   %
09-Aug 0130/0930 *** Jul    CN PPI y/y                          5.5   5.6   %
09-Aug 0130/1130 *** Jun    AU Housing finance m/m             +1.0  +1.0   %
09-Aug 0630/0830 **  Jul    FR BOF Manufacturing Sentiment    103.0    --
                                 Index
09-Aug 0630/0830 **  Jul    FR BOF Services Sentiment Index   100.0    --
09-Aug 0800/1000 *   Jun    IT industrial production m/m        0.7   0.1   %
09-Aug 0800/1000 *   Jun    IT industrial production y/y wda    2.8    --   %
09-Aug 1100/0700 **  04-Aug US MBA Mortgage Applications       -2.8    --   %
09-Aug 1215/0815 **  Jul    CA CMHC housing starts            213.2 205.0 k 
09-Aug 1230/0830 **  Q2     US non-farm productivity (p)        0.0   0.8   %
09-Aug 1230/0830 **  Q2     US unit labor costs (p)             2.2   1.1   %
09-Aug 1230/0830 *   Jun    CA Building permits                +8.9    --   %
09-Aug 1400/1000 **  Jun    US wholesale inventories            0.6    --   %
09-Aug 1400/1000 **  Jun    US wholesale sales                 -0.5    --   %
09-Aug 1430/1030 **  04-Aug US crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w    -1.5    -- m bbl
09-Aug 1500/1100 **  Jul    US Kansas City Fed LMCI            1.30    --
 
10-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN M2 ytd y/y (date tba)            9.4   9.5   %
10-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN new loans (date tba)            1.54  0.80 t CNY
10-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN social financing (date tba)     1.78  1.08 t CNY
10-Aug 2100/0900 *** Q3     NZ RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement    --    --
10-Aug 2100/0900 ***        NZ RBNZ OCR decision               1.75  1.75   %
10-Aug 2245/1045 **  Jul    NZ Electronic card transactions      --    --   %
10-Aug 2350/0850 *   Jul    JP Corp goods price index m/m       0.0  +0.2   %
10-Aug 2350/0850 *   Jul    JP CGPI y/y                        +2.1  +2.3   %
10-Aug 2350/0850 *   Jun    JP Machinery orders m/m            -3.6  +4.5   %
10-Aug 0100/1100 **  Aug    AU MI infla Expectation Trim Mean   4.4    --   %
10-Aug 0100/1100 **  Aug    AU MI infla Expectation Wt Mean     2.5    --   %
10-Aug 0645/0845 *   Jun    FR industrial production m/m        1.9   0.5   %
10-Aug 0645/0845 *   Jun    FR industrial production y/y        3.2    --   %
10-Aug 0830/0930 **  Jun    UK construction output m/m           --    --   %
10-Aug 0830/0930 **  Jun    UK construction output y/y           --    --   %
10-Aug 1200/1300     Aug    UK NIESR GDP 3m/3m                   --    --   %
10-Aug 1230/0830 **  05-Aug US jobless claims                   240   240 k 
10-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US Final Demand PPI                 0.1   0.2   %
10-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US PPI ex. food and energy          0.1   0.2   %
10-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US PPI ex. food, energy, trade      0.2    --   %
10-Aug 1230/0830 *   Jun    CA New Housing Price Index y/y     +3.8    --   %
10-Aug 1345/0945 *   06-Aug US Bloomberg comfort index           --    --
10-Aug 1430/1030 **  04-Aug US natural gas stocks w/w           +20    --   Bcf
10-Aug 1800/1400 **  Jul    US Treasury budget balance        -90.2 -54.0 b USD
10-Aug 2030/1630 **  09-Aug US Fed weekly securities holdings    --    -- t USD
 
11-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN M2 ytd y/y (date tba)            9.4   9.5   %
11-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN new loans (date tba)            1.54  0.80 t CNY
11-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN social financing (date tba)     1.78  1.08 t CNY
11-Aug 0600/0800 *** Jul    DE HICP (f) m/m                     0.4    --   %
11-Aug 0600/0800 *** Jul    DE HICP (f) y/y                     1.5   1.5   %
11-Aug 0600/0800 *   Jul    DE wholesale prices m/m             0.0    --   %
11-Aug 0600/0800 *   Jul    DE wholesale prices y/y             2.5    --   %
11-Aug 0645/0845 **  Q2     FR non-farm payrolls q/q            0.4    --   %
11-Aug 0645/0845 **  Q2     FR non-farm payrolls y/y            1.2    --   %
11-Aug 0645/0845 *** Jul    FR HICP (f) m/m                    -0.4    --   %
11-Aug 0645/0845 *** Jul    FR HICP (f) y/y                     0.8    --   %
11-Aug 0645/0845 *   Q2     FR employment                      10.4    --   %
11-Aug 0700/0300 *** Jul    ES HICP (f) m/m                    -1.2    --   %
11-Aug 0700/0300 *** Jul    ES HICP (f) y/y                     1.7    --   %
11-Aug 0700/0300 *   Jun    ES services survey y/y              7.9    --   %
11-Aug 0700/0300 *   Jun    ES industrial orders y/y wda        5.9    --   %
11-Aug 0800/1000 *** Jul    IT HICP (f) m/m                    -1.9    --   %
11-Aug 0800/1000 *** Jul    IT HICP (f) y/y                     1.2    --   %
11-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US CPI                              0.0   0.2   %
11-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US CPI Ex Food and Energy           0.1   0.2   %
11-Aug 1500/1100 **  Q3     US St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast    --    --   %
11-Aug 1515/1115 **  Q3     US NY Fed GDP Nowcast              +2.0    --   %
 
12-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN M2 ytd y/y (date tba)            9.4   9.5   %
12-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN new loans (date tba)            1.54  0.80 t CNY
12-Aug     -     *** Jul    CN social financing (date tba)     1.78  1.08 t CNY
 
14-Aug     -     *   Jul    FR BOF retail trade q/q             0.3    --   %
14-Aug 2245/1045 **  Q2     NZ Retail sales q/q                  --    --   %
14-Aug 2350/0850 *** Q2     JP GDP (p) q/q                     +0.3  +0.7   %
14-Aug 2350/0850 *** Q2     JP GDP (p) annualized              +1.0  +2.6   %
14-Aug 0200/1000 *** ytd    CN fixed-asset investment y/y       8.6   8.6   %
14-Aug 0200/1000 *** Jul    CN industrial output y/y            7.6   7.0   %
14-Aug 0200/1000 *** Jul    CN retail sales y/y                11.0  10.7   %
14-Aug 0900/1100 **  Jun    EU industrial production m/m        1.3    --   %
14-Aug 0900/1100 **  Jun    EU industrial production y/y wda    4.0    --   %
14-Aug 1500/1100 **  Aug    US NY Fed expectations survey        --    --
 
15-Aug 2330/0930 **  13-Aug AU ANZ-RM Consumer Confidence        --    --   %
15-Aug 0130/1130 *** Aug    AU RBA board meeting minutes         --    --
15-Aug 0600/0800 *** Q2     DE GDP (p) q/q                      0.6    --   %
15-Aug 0600/0800 *** Q2     DE GDP (p) y/y wda                  1.7    --   %
15-Aug 0830/0930 *** Jul    UK CPI m/m                           --    --   %
15-Aug 0830/0930 *** Jul    UK CPI y/y                           --    --   %
15-Aug 0830/0930 *** Jul    UK core CPI y/y                      --    --   %
15-Aug 0830/0930 *** Jul    UK PPI output y/y                    --    --   %
15-Aug 0830/0930 *** Jul    UK PPI input y/y                     --    --   %
15-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US retail sales                    -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US retail sales ex. motor vehicle  -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 1230/0830 *** Jul    US retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas   -0.1    --   %
15-Aug 1230/0830 **  Jul    US imports price index             -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 1230/0830 **  Jul    US exports price index             -0.2    --   %
15-Aug 1230/0830 **  Aug    US Empire Manufacturing Index       9.8    --
15-Aug 1255/0855 **  12-Aug US Redbook retail sales m/m        -0.3    --   %
15-Aug 1300/0900 *   Jul    CA CREA home resales m/m           -6.7    --   %
15-Aug 1400/1000 *   Jun    US business inventories             0.3    --   %
15-Aug 1400/1000 **  Aug    US NAHB home builder index           64    --
15-Aug 2000/1600 **  Jun    US net TICS flows                  57.3    -- b USD
15-Aug 2000/1600 **  Jun    US long term TICS flows            65.8    -- b USD
 
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]