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GLOBAL POLITICAL RISK

Modi, AMLO Top Major Economy Leader Poll, Macron Last

AUDUSD TECHS

Under Pressure

EURJPY TECHS

Trend Condition Remains Bearish

Global Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date   GMT /Local                                             Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
28-Jun 0130/1130 *   Qtrly  AU Job vacancies q/q               +4.4    --   %
28-Jun 0600/0800 *   Jun    DE GFK Consumer Climate            10.7  10.5
28-Jun 0700/0900 *   May    ES retail sales y/y wda             0.5    --   %
28-Jun 0700/0900 *** Jun    ES HICP (p) m/m                     0.9    --   %
28-Jun 0700/0900 *** Jun    ES HICP (p) y/y                     2.1    --   %
28-Jun 0900/1100 **  Jun    EU Economic Sentiment Indicator   112.5 112.0
28-Jun 0900/1100 *   Jun    EU Business Climate Indicator      1.45    --
28-Jun 0900/1100 *   Jun    EU Consumer Confidence              0.2    --
28-Jun 0900/1100 *   Jun    EU Industrial Sentiment             6.8    --
28-Jun 0900/1100 *** Jun    IT HICP (p) m/m                     0.3    --   %
28-Jun 0900/1100 *** Jun    IT HICP (p) y/y                     1.0    --   %
28-Jun 1200/1400 *** Jun    DE HICP (p) m/m                     0.6    --   %
28-Jun 1200/1400 *** Jun    DE HICP (p) y/y                     2.2    --   %
28-Jun 1230/0830 **  23-Jun US jobless claims                   218   220 k 
28-Jun 1230/0830 *** Q1     US GDP (3rd)                        2.2   2.2   %
28-Jun 1230/0830 *** Q1     US GDP Price Index                  1.9   1.9   %
28-Jun 1230/0830 *   Apr    CA Payroll employment             +39.9    -- k 
28-Jun 1230/0830 *   Apr    CA Average weekly earnings y/y     +3.1    --   %
28-Jun 1345/0945 *   24-Jun US Bloomberg comfort index           --    --
28-Jun 1430/1030 **  22-Jun US natural gas stocks w/w            91    --   Bcf
28-Jun 1500/1100 **  Jun    US Kansas City Fed Mfg Index         29    --
28-Jun 1900/1500 *   May    US farm prices                     -2.2    --   %
28-Jun 2030/1630 **  27-Jun US Fed weekly securities holdings    --    -- t USD
 
29-Jun 2245/1045 *   Apr    NZ Building consents m/m             --    --   %
29-Jun 2301/0001 **  Jun    UK Gfk Consumer Conf                 -7    -7
29-Jun 2330/0830 **  Jun    JP Core central Tokyo CPI y/y      +0.5  +0.6   %
29-Jun 2350/0850 **  May    JP Industrial production m/m       +0.5  -1.2   %
29-Jun 0130/1130 **  May    AU RBA pvt sector credit m/m       +0.4    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE Import Price Index m/m           0.6    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE Import Price Index y/y           0.6    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE Export Price Index m/m           0.2    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE Export Price Index y/y           0.7    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE retail sales m/m                 2.3    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE retail sales y/y                 1.2    --   %
29-Jun 0600/0800 **  May    DE ILO employment change             35    -- k 
29-Jun 0645/0845 **  May    FR Consumer spending m/m           -1.5    --   %
29-Jun 0645/0845 **  May    FR Consumer Spending  y/y           0.2    --   %
29-Jun 0645/0845 **  May    FR PPI m/m                         -0.7    --   %
29-Jun 0645/0845 **  May    FR PPI y/y                          2.3    --   %
29-Jun 0645/0845 *** Jun    FR HICP m/m (p)                     0.5    --   %
29-Jun 0645/0845 *** Jun    FR HICP y/y (p)                     2.3    --   %
29-Jun 0700/0900 *   Jun    CH KOF Economic Barometer         100.0    --
29-Jun 0755/0955 **  Jun    DE unemployment rate                5.2    --   %
29-Jun 0755/0955 **  Jun    DE unemployment change m/m          -11  -5.0 k 
29-Jun 0830/0930 **  May    UK Index of Services m/m             --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **  May    UK Index of Services 3m/3m           --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **  Q1     UK GDP (3rd)  q/q                    --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **  Q1     UK GDP (3rd)  y/y                    --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 *          UK current account balance           --    -- b GBP
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK M4 money supply m/m               --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK M4 money supply y/y               --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK M4 ex-intermediate m/m            --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK M4 ex-intermediate y/y            --    --   %
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK mortgage approvals (BOE)          --    --
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK net lending on dwellings          --    -- b GBP
29-Jun 0830/0930 **         UK net consumer credit (BOE)         --    -- b GBP
29-Jun 0900/1100 *** Jun    EU HICP (p) 'core' y/y              1.1   1.0   %
29-Jun 0900/1100 *** Jun    EU HICP (p) y/y                     1.9   2.0   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 **  May    US personal income                  0.3   0.4   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 **  May    US current dollar PCE               0.6   0.4   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 **  May    US total PCE price index            0.2    --   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 **  May    US core PCE price index             0.2   0.2   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 *** Apr    CA GDP m/m                         +0.3   0.0   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 *   May    CA Industrial product prices y/y   +2.4    --   %
29-Jun 1230/0830 *   May    CA Raw material Prices y/y         +8.9    --   %
29-Jun 1300/0900 *   Jun    US ISM-Milwaukee Mfg Index         67.9    --
29-Jun 1345/0945 **  Jun    US MNI Chicago PMI                 62.7  60.1
29-Jun 1400/1000 *** Jun    US Michigan sentiment index (f)    99.3  99.3
29-Jun 1500/1100 **  Q2     US St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast  3.44    --   %
29-Jun 1515/1115 **  Q2     US NY Fed GDP Nowcast               2.9    --   %
29-Jun 1600/1200 **  16/17  US grain stocks                      --    --
 
30-Jun 0100/0900 *** Jun    CN CFLP Manufacturing PMI          51.9    --
30-Jun 0100/0900 **  Jun    CN CFLP Non-Manufacturing PMI      54.9    --
 
02-Jul 2230/0830 **  Jun    AU AI Group manufacturing index    57.5    --
02-Jul 2350/0850 *** Q2     JP Major mfg diffusion index        +24   +22
02-Jul 2350/0850 *** Q2     JP Major non-mfg DI                 +23   +23
02-Jul 2350/0850 *** Q2     JP Major firms' FY17 capex         +2.3  +9.4   %
02-Jul 0000/1000 **  Jun    AU CoreLogic home value index m/m  -0.1    --   %
02-Jul 0145/0945 *** Jun    CN Caixin Manufacturing PMI        51.1    --
02-Jul 0645/0845 *   Jun    FR car registrations y/y            0.2    --   %
02-Jul 0715/0915 **  May    CH retail sales m/m                 0.0    --   %
02-Jul 0715/0915 **  May    CH retail sales wda y/y             2.2    --   %
02-Jul 0715/0915 **  Jun    ES Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)    53.4    --
02-Jul 0745/0945 **  Jun    IT Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)    52.7    --
02-Jul 0750/0950 **  Jun    FR Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)    53.1    --
02-Jul 0755/0955 **  Jun    DE Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)    55.9    --
02-Jul 0800/1000 **  Jun    EU Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)    55.0    --
02-Jul 0830/0930 **  Jun    UK Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI     --    --
02-Jul 1345/0945 *** Jun    US Markit Mfg Index (final)        54.6    --
02-Jul 1400/1000 *** Jun    US ISM Manufacturing Index         58.7    --
02-Jul 1400/1000 *   May    US construction spending            1.8    --   %
02-Jul 1400/1000 *   Jul    US help-wanted online ratio        1.16    --
 
03-Jul     -     *** Jun    US NA-made light vehicle sales      9.9    -- m 
                                 SAAR
03-Jul 0130/1130 *** Jun    AU Dwelling approvals m/m          -5.0    --   %
03-Jul 0430/1430 *** Jul    AU RBA cash rate decision          1.75  1.75   %
03-Jul 0700/0900 *   Jun    ES unemployment m/m               -2.51    --   %
03-Jul 0700/0900 *   Jun    ES unemployment y/y               -6.04    --   %
03-Jul 0830/0930 **  Jun    UK Markit/CIPS Construction PMI      --    --
03-Jul 0900/1100 **  May    EU retail sales m/m                 0.1    --   %
03-Jul 0900/1100 **  May    EU retail sales y/y wda             1.7    --   %
03-Jul 0900/1100 **  May    EU PPI m/m                          0.0    --   %
03-Jul 0900/1100 **  May    EU PPI y/y                          2.0    --   %
03-Jul 1255/0855 **  30-Jun US Redbook retail sales m/m        -0.5    --   %
03-Jul 1345/0945 *   Jun    US ISM-NY current conditions       56.4    --
03-Jul 1400/1000 **  May    US factory new orders              -0.8    --   %
03-Jul 1400/1000 **  May    US factory orders ex transport      0.4    --   %
 
04-Jul 2230/0830 **  Jun    AU AI Group services index         59.0    --
04-Jul 2301/0001 *   Jul    UK BRC Shop Price Index m/m          --    --   %
04-Jul 2301/0001 *   Jul    UK BRC Shop Price Index y/y          --    --   %
04-Jul 0130/1130 *** May    AU Trade balance                    977    -- m AUD
04-Jul 0130/1130 *** May    AU Retail trade m/m                +0.4    --   %
04-Jul 0145/0945 **  Jun    CN Caixin Service PMI              52.9    --
04-Jul 0715/0915 **  Jun    ES Markit Services PMI (f)         56.4    --
04-Jul 0745/0945 **  Jun    IT Markit Services PMI (f)         53.1    --
04-Jul 0750/0950 **  Jun    FR Markit Services PMI (f)         56.4    --
04-Jul 0755/0955 **  Jun    DE Markit Services PMI (f)         53.9    --
04-Jul 0800/1000 **  Jun    EU Markit Services PMI (f)         55.0    --
04-Jul 0830/0930 **  Jun    UK Markit/CIPS Services PMI          --    --
 
     
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]