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Free AccessGLOBAL MORNING BRIEFING: Kicking off '22 with PMIs
After the quiet of the Xmas and New Year break, the week kicks off with Turkish headline inflation and Eurozone and US manufacturing PMIs.
Turkey CPI (0700 GMT)
Analyst are projecting another surge in Turkish headline inflation for December, with monthly CPI set to jump to 8.00% m/m, up from 3.51% m/m in November. The lira continues to drop as President Erdogan preaches low interest rates despite annual CPI expected to hit 27.3% y/y in December (21.3% y/y in November).
Manufacturing PMIs across the Eurozone slowing down in December
Supply restrictions still squeeze manufacturing growth across the region but appear to be easing somewhat whilst input and output cost inflation continue to rise. Business optimism appears to be improving.
Spain (0815 GMT) Spain’s manufacturing PMI is projected to have dipped in December to 56.3, down almost six points from 57.1 in November.
Italy (0845 GMT) Italy’s Manufacturing PMI is predicted to dampen slightly to 61.5 in December from the record high of 62.8 in November, with the Italian manufacturing sector still looking strong.
France (0850 GMT) French Manufacturing PMI is expected to be in line with the flash estimate of 54.9, dropping one point from the November reading of 55.9 and continuing the downwards trend following the May peak.
Germany (0855 GMT) Germany is also expecting the Manufacturing PMI estimate of 57.9 to hold, dampening from 57.4 in November.
Eurozone (0900 GMT) The Eurozone aggregate Manufacturing PMI is set to ease to 58.0 for December, down from 58.4 in November.
US Manufacturing PMI to dampen (1445 GMT)
US factory gate inflation for manufacturing is projected to dampen one decimal point from the flash reading to 57.7 in December, half a point below November’s level of 58.3 and slowing substantially from the July peak as the labour market remains tight and input shortages persist.
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