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MNI GLOBAL MORNING BRIEFING: US PPI In Focus

MNI (London)

The rest of the week is very quiet on the European data front, in lead up to the ECB’s meeting on July 21

Sweden Inflation (0700 BST)

A substantial 1.0pp jump to +8.3% y/y is anticipated for Swedish June inflation, with prices accelerating 1.0% m/m and keeping pace with May. This would eb the highest annualized inflation rate since July 1991. The Riksbank will as always be paying close attention to the CPIF core reading, which is seen ticking up 0.4pp to +5.8% y/y.

Monday’s minutes from the June 50bp-hike meet highlighted that the Riksbank is prioritizing controlling inflation over downside growth risks.

Turkey Industrial Production (0800 BST)

A small 0.3% m/m contraction is on the cards for Turkey’s May industrial production print, after flatlining the month before. Compared to last year, production remains buoyant and is anticipated to have grown by 8.0% (easing from +10.8% y/y in April). Mining and manufacturing will likely again be the key growth drivers.

Canada Manufacturing Sales (1330 BST)

Manufacturing is projected fall in May, with sales expected to contract by 2.4% m/m, following April’s 1.7% m/m expansion. This would be close to initial estimates of -2.5% m/m, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic in 2020. Falling sales in the auto industry have been largely accountable for the decline.

US Producer Prices (1330 BST)

PPI is seen edging down by 0.1pp to +10.7% y/y, whilst holding steady at +0.8% m/m. Core factory-gate inflation is pencilled in at +6.6% for June, a 0.2pp slowdown from May.

After US CPI hit a 1981 high of 9.1% y/y yesterday, markets will be looking for signs of continued acceleration in the factory-gate inflation print as energy price inflation remains acute.

Thursday sees Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Governor Christopher Waller making appearances today.


DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
14/07/20220600/0800***SE Inflation report
14/07/20220600/0800*DE Wholesale Prices
14/07/20220800/0400USTreasury Secretary Janet Yellen
14/07/20221230/0830**US Jobless Claims
14/07/20221230/0830***US PPI
14/07/20221400/1000**US WASDE Weekly Import/Export
14/07/20221430/1030**US Natural Gas Stocks
14/07/20221500/1100US Fed Governor Christopher Waller
14/07/20221530/1130**US US Bill 04 Week Treasury Auction Result
14/07/20221530/1130*US US Bill 08 Week Treasury Auction Result

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