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(H1) Fragile Outlook


Curve Lower, Flatter as Yields Reverse Off Cycle Highs


Yield Curve Update


Eurodollars Futures Snapshot




Probes Key Support

Global News and Data Calendar

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 22:01 GMT Feb 28/17:01 EST Feb 28
--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
Date    GMT /Local          Event
28-Feb  0115/2015       US  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to deliver
                              a speech about recent economic developments and
                              longer-term challenges at the Citizens Budget
                              Commission 87th Annual Awards Dinner in New York,
01-Mar      -      ***  US  domestic made vehicle sales
01-Mar  0145/0945  ***  CN  Caixin Manufacturing PMI
01-Mar  0700/0800  **   DE  retail sales
01-Mar  0700/0800  **   DE  ILO employment
01-Mar  0730/0830  **   CH  retail sales
01-Mar  0745/0845  *    FR  car registrations
01-Mar  0815/0915  **   ES  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Mar  0845/0945  **   IT  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Mar  0850/0950  **   FR  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Mar  0855/0955  **   DE  unemployment
01-Mar  0855/0955  **   DE  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Mar  0900/1000  **   EU  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
01-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  BOE M4
01-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  BOE Lending to Individuals
01-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI
01-Mar  1000/1100  **   EU  unemployment
01-Mar  1000/1100  ***  EU  HICP (p)
01-Mar  1330/0830  ***  CA  CA GDP by Industry and GDP Canadian Economic
                              Accounts Combined
01-Mar  1330/0830  **   US  Personal Income and Consumption
01-Mar  1445/0945  ***  US  Markit Manufacturing Index (final)
01-Mar  1500/1000  ***  US  Final Michigan Sentiment Index
01-Mar  1500/1000  ***  US  ISM Manufacturing Index
01-Mar  1545/1045       US  New York Federal Reserve Bank Vice President Kevin
                              Stiroh to delver a speech on "Policy Efficiency in
                              Supervision" at the Columbia University School of
                              International and Public Affairs in New York, New
01-Mar  1600/1100  **   US  St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast
01-Mar  1615/1115  **   US  NY Fed GDP Nowcast
01-Mar  1815/1315       US  Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael
                              Bostic to participate in a fireside chat on
                              economic outlook and monetary policy at the 35th
                              annual NABE Economic Policy Conference in
                              Washington, DC, with audience Q&A.
03-Mar      -           CN  Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference
04-Mar      -      *    DE  car registrations
04-Mar  0030/1130       AU  Building Approvals
04-Mar  0030/1130       AU  Business Indicators
04-Mar  0800/0900  *    ES  unemployment
04-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  Markit/CIPS Construction PMI
04-Mar  1000/1100  **   EU  PPI
04-Mar  1445/0945  *    US  ISM-NY Manufacturing Index
04-Mar  1500/1000  *    US  construction spending
05-Mar      -           CN  National People's Congress
05-Mar      -           US  National People's Congress held in Beijing
05-Mar      -           US  National People's Congress held in Beijing
05-Mar  0001/0001  *    UK  BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
05-Mar  0030/1130       AU  Balance of Payments: Current Account
05-Mar  0145/0945  **   CN  Caixin Service PMI
05-Mar  0330/1430  ***  AU  RBA monthly cash rate decision
05-Mar  0730/0830  ***  CH  CPI
05-Mar  0815/0915  **   ES  Markit Services PMI (f)
05-Mar  0845/0945  **   IT  Markit Services PMI (f)
05-Mar  0850/0950  **   FR  Markit Services PMI (f)
05-Mar  0855/0955  **   DE  Markit Services PMI (f)
05-Mar  0900/1000  ***  IT  GDP (f)
05-Mar  0900/1000  **   EU  Markit Services PMI (f)
05-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  Markit/CIPS Services PMI
05-Mar  1000/1100  **   EU  retail sales
05-Mar  1230/0730       US  Boston Federal Reserve Bank President Eric
                              Rosengren to offer the National Association of
                              Corporate Directors' New England Chapter analysis
                              of the current economic landscape in Boston, MA
05-Mar  1355/0855  **   US  Redbook Retail Sales Index
05-Mar  1400/0900  *    US  Building permits revisions
05-Mar  1445/0945  ***  US  Markit Services Index (final)
05-Mar  1500/1000  ***  US  new home sales
05-Mar  1500/1000  ***  US  ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
05-Mar  1500/1000  **   US  IBD/TIPP Optimism Index
05-Mar  1900/1400  **   US  Treasury Budget
06-Mar  0500/1400       JP  BOJ board member Harada holds a news conference
06-Mar  1200/0700  **   US  MBA weekly applications index
06-Mar  1200/1200       UK  Weekly questions to the Prime Minister
06-Mar  1315/0815  ***  US  ADP Employment Report
06-Mar  1330/0830  *    CA  Labour Productivity and Costs
06-Mar  1330/0830  **   US  trade balance
06-Mar  1330/0830  **   CA  International Merchandise Trade (Trade Balance)
06-Mar  1500/1000  *    US  help-wanted online index
06-Mar  1500/1000  **   CA  Ivey PMI
06-Mar  1500/1000  ***  CA  Interest Rate Announcement Bank of Canada
06-Mar  1530/1030  **   US  DOE weekly crude oil stocks
06-Mar  1700/1200       US  Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta
                              Mester to participate in a moderated Q&A session
                              at the Columbus Club in Columbus, Ohio.
06-Mar  1710/1210       US  New York Federal Reserve Bank President John
                              Williams to deliver a speech on "The Economic
                              Outlook: The 'New Normal' Is Now" at the Economic
                              Club of New York, followed by audience Q&A.
06-Mar  1900/1400       US  Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book for
                              upcoming FOMC meeting in Washington.
06-Mar  2000/1500  *    US  Treasury STRIPS
07-Mar      -      ***  CN  FX Reserves
07-Mar  0030/1130       AU  Retail Trade
07-Mar  0645/0745  **   CH  unemployment
07-Mar  0700/0800  *    DE  wholesale sales
07-Mar  0820/0920       EU  ECB Supervisory Board Chair Andrea Enria keynote
                              speech at 4th SSM & EBF Boardroom dialogue in
07-Mar  0830/0830  *    UK  Halifax House Price Index
07-Mar  0900/1000  *    IT  retail sales
07-Mar  1000/1100  ***  EU  GDP (2nd est.)
07-Mar  1000/1100  *    EU  employment
07-Mar  1230/0730  *    US  Challenger Monthly Layoff Intentions
07-Mar  1245/1345  ***  EU  ECB Deposit Rate
07-Mar  1245/1345  ***  EU  ECB Main Refi Rate
07-Mar  1245/1345  ***  EU  ECB Marginal Lending Rate
07-Mar  1245/1345       EU  ECB monetary policy decision, in Frankfurt.
07-Mar  1330/0830  **   US  Jobless Claims
07-Mar  1330/0830  **   US  Non-Farm Productivity (f)
07-Mar  1330/0830  *    CA  Building Permits
07-Mar  1330/1430       EU  Press conference following the Governing Council
                              meeting of the ECB, in Frankfurt.
07-Mar  1530/1030  **   US  Natural Gas Stocks
07-Mar  1530/1030       US  New York Federal Reserve Bank Vice President Simon
                              Potter to participate in a panel on "Challenges
                              and Opportunities from Purchasing Unconventional
                              Assets" at the Bank of England Research Workshop
                              in London, UK.
07-Mar  1730/1230       CA  BOC Deputy Gov Lynn Patterson speech at the
                              Hamilton Chamber of Commerce, Hamilton, ON. Topic:
                              Economic Progress Report
07-Mar  2000/1500  *    US  Consumer Credit
07-Mar  2130/1630  **   US  Fed Weekly Money Supply Data
08-Mar  2330/0830  **   JP  Household spending
08-Mar  2350/0850  **   JP  GDP (r)
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