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(U2) More Stable But Still Fragile


Trend Structure Remains Bullish


Cautious Risk Appetite Gains Momentum


Key Support Still Exposed


Late Equity Roundup: 2W Highs

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Global News and Data Calendar

Date    GMT /Local          Event
25-Feb  0700/0800  ***  DE  GDP (f)
25-Feb  0745/0845  *    FR  Services Sentiment
25-Feb  0745/0845  **   FR  Manufacturing Sentiment
25-Feb  0745/0845  *    FR  Business Climate Indicator
25-Feb  1100/1100  **   UK  CBI Distributive Trades
25-Feb  1330/0830  *    CA  Quarterly financial statistics for enterprises
25-Feb  1330/0830  **   US  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Index
25-Feb  1355/0855  **   US  Redbook Retail Sales Index
25-Feb  1400/0900  **   US  FHFA Home Price Index
25-Feb  1400/0900  **   US  FHFA Quarterly Price Index
25-Feb  1400/0900  **   US  S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index
25-Feb  1445/0945       US  Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan to speak at the
                              Kansas City Real Estate Trends Symposium at the
                              University of Missouri. No text expected.
                              Questions from the audience and the press
25-Feb  1500/1000  ***  US  Conference Board Consumer Confidence
25-Feb  1500/1000  **   US  Richmond Fed Survey
25-Feb  1530/1030  **   US  Dallas Fed Services Survey
25-Feb  1730/1230       CA  BOC Deputy Lane speaks in Montreal "Future of
25-Feb  2000/1500       US  Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida to speak on the
                              outlook and monetary policy at the 36th annual
                              NABE conference in Washington, DC. Text expected.
                              Clarida is expected to take questions from the
                              moderator. No webcast.
26-Feb  0001/0001  *    UK  BRC Monthly Shop Price Index
26-Feb  0700/1500  **   CN  MNI China Liquidity Suvey
26-Feb  0745/0845  **   FR  Consumer Sentiment
26-Feb  0800/0900       EU  ECB's board member Fabio Panetta speaks at joint
                              Deutsche Bundesbank, ECB, Fed Chicago conference
                              on central counterparty risk management in
                              Frankfurt, Germany.
26-Feb  1200/0700  **   US  MBA weekly applications index
26-Feb  1330/1430       EU  ECB's board member Christine Lagarde visits Volker
                              Bouffier, Prime Minister of the State of Hesse, in
                              Wiesbaden, Germany.
26-Feb  1435/0935       US  Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan to speak at the
                              Teacher Retirement System and Employees Retirement
                              System of Texas 2020 Emerging Manager Conference.
                              Text not expected. Audience Q&A. To be determined
                              whether Kaplan takes questions from the press.
26-Feb  1500/1000  ***  US  new home sales
26-Feb  1530/1030  **   US  DOE weekly crude oil stocks
26-Feb  1800/1300       US  Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari to speak
                              at the Minneapolis Downtown Council Business Forum
                              on "What you may not know about the Minneapolis
                              Federal Reserve." No text. Audience Q&A expected.
                              No livestream.
26-Feb  0100/2000       KR  Bank of Korea policy decision
27-Feb  0130/1030       JP  BOJ board member Kataoka speaks to business
27-Feb  0530/1430       JP  BOJ Kataoka holds a news conference
27-Feb  0800/0900  **   SE  Economic Tendency Indicator
27-Feb  0800/0900  ***  ES  HICP (p)
27-Feb  0830/0930  **   SE  PPI
27-Feb  0830/0930  **   SE  Trade Data
27-Feb  0900/1000  **   EU  M3
27-Feb  0930/1030       EU  ECB's board member Fabio Panetta speaks at the 4th
                              meeting of the Euro Cyber Resilience Board in
                              Frankfurt, Germany.
27-Feb  1000/1100  *    EU  Consumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
27-Feb  1000/1100  *    EU  Business Climate Indicator
27-Feb  1000/1100  **   EU  Economic Sentiment Indicator
27-Feb  1005/1105       EU  ECB's board member Isabel Schnabel gives a speech
                              followed by a Q&A discussion at Barclays
                              International Monetary Policy event in London,
                              United Kingdom.
27-Feb  1030/1030       UK  BOE Dep Gov Jon Cunliffe on forum panel, London
27-Feb  1215/1315       EU  ECB's board member Philip R. Lane participates in
                              a discussion at a high-level conference on "Euro
                              area's growth in a weakened economic outlook:
                              diagnosis and responses" in Paris, France.
27-Feb  1330/0830  *    CA  Current account
27-Feb  1330/0830  *    CA  Payroll employment
27-Feb  1330/0830  **   US  Jobless Claims
27-Feb  1330/0830  **   US  durable goods new orders
27-Feb  1330/0830  ***  US  GDP (2nd)
27-Feb  1500/1000  **   US  NAR pending home sales
27-Feb  1530/1030  **   US  Natural Gas Stocks
27-Feb  1600/1100  **   US  Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index
27-Feb  1600/1700       EU  ECB's board member Luis de Guindos gives a speech
                              at a conference jointly organised by Grupo Joly
                              and Cooperativas Agro-Alimentarias de Andalucia in
                              Sevilla, Spain.
27-Feb  1630/1130       US  Chicago Fed President Charles Evans to give
                              keynote speech at the Global Interdependence
                              Center in Mexico City. To be determined whether
                              text is released. Evans will take questions from
                              the media.
27-Feb  1930/2030       EU  ECB's board member Philip R. Lane gives a speech
                              at a dinner organised by the Centre for European
                              Reform in London, United Kingdom.
27-Feb  2130/1630  **   US  Fed Weekly Money Supply Data
28-Feb  2330/0830  **   JP  Tokyo CPI
28-Feb  2350/0850  *    JP  Retail sales (p)
28-Feb  2350/0850  **   JP  Industrial production
28-Feb  0001/0001  **   UK  Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
28-Feb  0700/0800  **   DE  Import/Export Prices
28-Feb  0730/0830  **   CH  retail sales
28-Feb  0745/0845  ***  FR  GDP (f)
28-Feb  0745/0845  ***  FR  HICP (p)
28-Feb  0745/0845  **   FR  Consumer Spending
28-Feb  0745/0845  **   FR  PPI
28-Feb  0800/0900  *    CH  KOF Economic Barometer
28-Feb  0855/0955  **   DE  unemployment
28-Feb  1115/1115       UK  BOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane lecture, Oxford
28-Feb  1300/1400  ***  DE  HICP (p)
28-Feb  1330/0830  ***  CA  CA GDP by Industry and GDP Canadian Economic
                              Accounts Combined
28-Feb  1330/0830  *    CA  Industrial Product and Raw Material Price Index
28-Feb  1330/0830  **   US  Personal Income and Consumption
28-Feb  1330/0830  **   US  advance trade, advance business inventories
28-Feb  1415/0915       US  St. Louis Fed President James Bullard to give a
                              presentation on the U.S. economy and monetary
                              policy at the Ft. Smith Chamber of Commerce
                              Breakfast. Slides and press release are expected.
                              No text. Bullard is expected to take questions
                              from the media.
28-Feb  1445/0945  **   US  MNI Chicago PMI
28-Feb  1500/1000  ***  US  Final Michigan Sentiment Index
28-Feb  1600/1100  **   US  St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast
28-Feb  1615/1115  **   US  NY Fed GDP Nowcast
28-Feb  1615/1615       UK  BOE Dep Governor Jon Cunliffe speech
29-Feb  0100/0900  ***  CN  CFLP Manufacturing PMI
29-Feb  0100/0900  **   CN  CFLP Non-Manufacturing PMI
02-Mar  0730/0830  **   SE  Manufacturing PMI
02-Mar  0815/0915  **   ES  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Mar  0845/0945  **   IT  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Mar  0850/0950  **   FR  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Mar  0855/0955  **   DE  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Mar  0900/1000  **   EU  Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)
02-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  BOE Lending to Individuals
02-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  BOE M4
02-Mar  0930/0930  **   UK  Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Final)
02-Mar  1445/0945  ***  US  Markit Manufacturing Index (final)
02-Mar  1500/1000  ***  US  ISM Manufacturing Index
02-Mar  1500/1000  *    US  construction spending
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email:

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