May 17, 2024 11:23 GMT
GoCs Return To Underperforming Treasuries, Early Close Today
CANADA
- GoCs sit 1-3bp higher shortly after the cash open, mildly underperforming Treasuries with 2-10Y Can-US differential rising 0.5-1.5bp.
- It sees differentials unwind a small part of yesterday’s sizeable decline on US non-oil import prices.
- The 2Y diff sits at -59.5bps and the 10Y at -81bps, a little below where it ended last week after yesterday unwinding progress to the highest differentials in over a month.
- BoC-dated OIS has roughly 50/50 odds of a June cut with Tuesday’s CAD CPI one of the last major releases before then.
- Today sees an early close for CORRA and CGB futures (1330ET) and a recommended early close for cash GoCs (1300ET) ahead of Victoria Day’s full closure on Monday.
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