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GOLD: Rebounds After Mixed US Data & Fedspeak

GOLD

Gold is 0.5% higher in today’s Asia-Pac session, after closing 0.8% higher at $2629.74 on Thursday.

  • After six consecutive days of losses, bullion steadied after upside surprises in US CPI and jobless claims and mixed Fedspeak imparted conflicting signals over the size of the Federal Reserve’s expected rate cut next month.
  • In the US, easing expectations have been pared noticeably over the past week, with last Friday’s stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report as the primary catalyst. Recent Fedspeak has assisted the move.
  • Yesterday, Atlanta Fed Bostic said the door is open to skip a rate cut in November. However, NY Fed Williams said policymakers should reduce rates to a more neutral level ‘over time’.
  • Lower rates are typically positive for gold, which doesn’t pay interest.
  • According to MNI’s technicals team, the yellow metal has pierced firm support at $2,615.9, the 20-day EMA, this week and a clear break would signal scope for a deeper retracement to $2,584.9, the Sep 20 low. On the upside, a continuation of gains would refocus attention on $2,690.2, a Fibonacci projection.
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Gold is 0.5% higher in today’s Asia-Pac session, after closing 0.8% higher at $2629.74 on Thursday.

  • After six consecutive days of losses, bullion steadied after upside surprises in US CPI and jobless claims and mixed Fedspeak imparted conflicting signals over the size of the Federal Reserve’s expected rate cut next month.
  • In the US, easing expectations have been pared noticeably over the past week, with last Friday’s stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report as the primary catalyst. Recent Fedspeak has assisted the move.
  • Yesterday, Atlanta Fed Bostic said the door is open to skip a rate cut in November. However, NY Fed Williams said policymakers should reduce rates to a more neutral level ‘over time’.
  • Lower rates are typically positive for gold, which doesn’t pay interest.
  • According to MNI’s technicals team, the yellow metal has pierced firm support at $2,615.9, the 20-day EMA, this week and a clear break would signal scope for a deeper retracement to $2,584.9, the Sep 20 low. On the upside, a continuation of gains would refocus attention on $2,690.2, a Fibonacci projection.