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Policy
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Free AccessGoldman Sachs note that "technical talks.........>
UK: Goldman Sachs note that "technical talks between EU and UK negotiators have
stalled in recent weeks, but European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
and UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson injected fresh political momentum into
Brexit discussions following a 'High Level' videoconference on Monday afternoon.
The next stage of negotiations will not be plain sailing, but we maintain our
base case that the EU and the UK will strike a 'thin' free trade agreement by
the end of the transition period on 31 December. De jure, the UK government will
be able to claim that a zero-tariff/zero-quota deal was done in the promised
timeframe - despite the disruption from Covid-19. De facto, we expect that deal
to involve a lengthy implementation phase, during which some current EU-UK
arrangements are preserved (in data, aviation and security, for example) until
further negotiations have run their course. In the language of 2016, we would
characterise the path ahead as a soft landing to a "hard Brexit" destination. In
the language of 2020, a foundational agreement reached this year would "deliver
a relationship" that can advance the interests of both sides over the longer
run."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.