CORRECTED-MNI: Fed's Hammack-Near Or At Time To Slow Rate Cuts

MNI BRIEF: Fed's Goolsbee Sees Rates Fair Bit Lower In A Year

CANADA JOBLESS RATE +6.8% VS FORECAST +6.6%, PRIOR +6.5%

MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6

MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY288.1 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1848 Fri; -1.64% Y/Y

MNI: UNIV OF MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT PRELIMINARY DEC INDEX 74.0

CANADA NOV IVEY PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX 52.3 SA

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Austria, UK Auction on Tuesday

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

Goldman Sachs On Upcoming BCCh Minutes

CHILE
  • In the post-meeting statement, the MPC stated that the risks of an inflationary scenario have intensified and pointed out that the decision to increase the policy rate to 8.25% places it around the upper limit of the policy rate corridor of the March IPoM. In addition, the MPC highlighted that a new evaluation of the policy rate path would be made in the next IPoM. Goldman Sachs read these observations as a hawkish signal that the central bank is abandoning its dovish forward guidance, which they now view as outdated.
  • In the minutes, GS will look for a possible discussion of the pros and cons that led the MPC to deviate from the baseline path outlined in the IPoM and deliver an above-consensus hike. They expect the MPC to have noted (i) the higher than expected inflation prints; (ii) the complex outlook for inflation; (iii) the deterioration of inflation expectations; and (iv) the more robust than anticipated economic activity momentum given that households' consumption has remained somewhat resilient.
  • GS will look for a possible discussion on the future trajectory for the policy rate, including how deep the MPC expects to drive the policy rate into restrictive territory (i.e., the desired level for the terminal rate in this cycle).
  • GS also expect the Committee to recognize the complex macroeconomic environment and the high degree of uncertainty. Therefore, they expect to see a discussion on the set of conditions that would prompt the MPC to adopt a more or less restrictive monetary policy stance.
BulletEM BulletEmerging Market NewsHomepage
BulletEM BulletEmerging Market NewsHomepage

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.