MNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, December 10

MNI BRIEF: China Nov Exports Slows, Imports Slide

MNI BRIEF: China Crude Oil Imports Accelerate In November

MNI BRIEF: Brazil Annual Inflation Rises To 4.87% In November

CHINA NOV EXPORTS +6.7% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +8.9% Y/Y: CUSTOMS

MNI: CHINA YTD EXPORTS +6.7% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS

US NFIB NOV SMALL BUSINESS INDEX 101.7

MNI: GERMAN NOV CPI +2.2 % Y/Y

MNI: NORWAY NOV CORE CPI +0.1% M/M, +3% Y/Y

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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Goldman Sachs See Increased Likelihood Of July BCCh Cut

CHILE
  • While Goldman Sachs expect the BCCh board to keep rates unchanged in June, in their view recent data is likely to prompt the central bank to provide more dovish guidance in the June IPoM and increase the likelihood of a cut in July.
  • Headline inflation has surprised downwards in the last four months. In addition, weaker-than-expected activity data in April and the faster pace of private consumption adjustment in Q1 should provide the central bank with some comfort that the non-mining output gap has continued to narrow.
  • However, core inflationary pressures remain more persistent, which should keep the central bank conservative and the policy rate restrictive for some time.
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