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California Governor Gavin Newsom retains a narrow lead in opinion polls ahead of the 14 September gubernatorial recall election in the US' most populous state.

  • Emerson College: Would you vote to recall, or to keep Governor Newsom?: Vote to keep: 48% (+6), Vote to Recall: 43% (+5), Undecided: 9% (-11). July 19–20, 2021. Chgs w/ 12-14 March. 1,085 likely voters.
  • The polling was not uniformly good for Newsom, with 58% of respondents stating that it was time to elect a new governor in 2022 (the scheduled gubernatorial election) and only 42% saying Newsom should be re-elected.
  • As can be seen from the chart below, of all the major issues facing California - which on its own would stand as the world's fifth-largest economy behind Germany but ahead of India, France and the United Kingdom - Newsom is viewed to have dealt best with the COVID-19 pandemic but poorly with the state's homelessness crisis:

Chart 1. How would you rate the job Gov. Newsom has done to handle...

Source: Emerson College