May 20, 2024 17:12 GMT
Greenback Consolidates Moderate Gains, Antipodeans Underperform
FOREX
- While most European markets are open, the observance of the Whit Monday holiday initially tempered activity to start the week, with most G10 currencies exhibiting narrow ranges as we approached the NY crossover. A brief bout of weakness for Treasuries saw the USD index pop to fresh session highs, however, gains have been partially reversed throughout the remainder of the session.
- The index approaches the APAC crossover 0.10% higher on the day, although just 45 pips off the recent lows. Market participants will monitor the April lows just below the 104 handle as the next notable support as markets await further US data to assess short-term Fed pricing.
- The higher US yields prompted a notable move higher for USDJPY, breaking back above 156.00 and printing a high of 156.23. 156.74 remains the notable resistance to watch.
- Ahead of Tuesday’s RBA minutes, AUDUSD has also pulled back slightly. However, a bullish remains intact following last week’s gains where the move higher resulted in the break of a number of short-term resistance points, including a key short-term resistance at 0.6668, the Mar 8 high.
- NZDUSD (-0.33%) is a relative underperformer following a Q2 RBNZ survey of inflation expectations showed households saw a slightly lower median expected inflation rate for the next two years at 3% from 3.2% in 1Q. This comes ahead of the RBNZ meeting on Wednesday, where markets expect an unchanged decision.
- Tuesday’s data calendar will be highlighted by Canada inflation data. Elsewhere, ECB’s Lagarde and another plethora of Fed members will speak.
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