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ECB: Hawkish commentary from ECB officials this morning who appear to have lent
credence to Tuesday's news reports that next week`s Governing Council meeting is
live for a potential announcement of winding down QE.
- Chief Econ Praet said that it was clear the ECB would have to assess the
unwinding of QE next week, while Weidmann emphasised that market expectations of
a QE end in 2018 are plausible, as inflation is expected to return to target.
- Estonia's Hansson cited by Estonian press this morning as saying that higher
ECB rates could come before mid-2019.
- Italy particularly severely impacted, with 2Y BTPs up 35bps at 1.638% and 10s
up 9.7bps at 2.8862%, leading to major curve steepening (2s10s down from 178bps
to 151bps), which last week had been a major risk aversion indicator.