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Hawkish EUR STIR Move Extends On U.S. Data

STIR

The U.S. data has driven an extension of the hawkish repricing in EUR STIRs.

  • ECB-dated OIS still shows nearly 21bp of cuts through the June meeting (repeated ECB guidance towards a June cut anchors pricing), with a more pronounced move seen further out the strip, as ~67bp of cuts show through year end.
  • Euribor futures are 1-6bp lower on the day, with contracts beyond ERM4 registering fresh ’24 lows.
ECB Meeting€STR ECB-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective €STR Rate (bp)
Jun-243.704-20.7
Jul-243.615-29.6
Sep-243.453-45.8
Oct-243.373-53.8
Dec-243.242-66.9
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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