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Hawkish Jobs, Inflation Data Fail to Stir Demand for GBP Upside Via Options

OPTIONS
  • The USD's modest fade off highs, twinned with the UK CPI print this morning has helped stimulate currency activity across both options and future markets so far Wednesday, with cumulative activity sitting ahead of average for this time off day.
  • GBP/USD hedging markets are of particular interest, with the somewhat hawkish jobs market and inflation prints this week failing to support renewed demand for GBP upside. Instead, the put/call ratio has skewed toward downside cover over the past two sessions - over $5 in puts have traded for every $3 in calls - thanks to demand for 1.2350, 1.2300 and 1.2210 put strikes.
  • Some of the more salient trades over the past 48 hours include a series of sizeable volatility hedges rolling off just ahead of the BoE's June 20th policy meeting (at which a 25bps rate cut is currently ~20% priced). The trades are consistent with 1.1945 and 1.2210 2-month straddles, capturing the May9 BoE decision and next round of jobs / inflation data on May14, May22 respectively.

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