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Headline Inflation Slows As Expected, CNB's Kubicek Flags Risks To Rate Outlook

CZECHIA
  • Czechia's headline inflation slowed to +15.0% Y/Y in March from 16.7% prior, falling in line with the median estimate in a Bloomberg poll of economists. The statistics office said that the base effect contributed to the decline in price growth, but continued food price inflation was key in keeping the headline rate elevated. The CNB will comment on the data at 12:00BST/13:00CEST.
  • Jan Kubicek, one of the CNB's two most recent joiners, told Hospodarske Noviny that a further deepening of fiscal deficit and a potential acceleration in wage growth are the key domestic economic risks which could justify an increase in Czech interest rates. Kubicek noted that he could support raising rates if the budget shortfall "continues as badly as in the first quarter." Conversely, he wants to see a clear decline in core inflation before voting for a rate cut.
  • Seznam Zpravy reported that President Petr Pavel will meet with Prime Minister Petr Fiala in the coming days to discuss the planned tax changes and austerity measures. Separately, Pavel is expected to tap Daniela Zemanova and Josef Baxa to become Constitutional Court judges.

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