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Headline National Inflation Data Expected To Rise To 118% Y/y

ARGENTINA
  • A quiet day for LatAm data with the only tier one release being Argentina inflation for June, where the annual headline rate of National CPI is expected to rise to 118.00%.
  • The USD downtick post-CPI has extended on Thursday, helping keep the greenback under pressure against the majority of G10 currencies. As was the case Wednesday, the main beneficiaries have been higher beta AUD and NZD, both advancing around 1% on the session.
  • Given the outsized market reaction to US CPI yesterday, PPI comes into focus ahead as markets look for similar clues of slowing inflation pressures. June PPI is expected to slow to 0.4% on a Y/Y basis, and down to 2.6% ex-food and energy. Central bank speakers due Thursday include Fed's Daly and Waller as well as the release of the ECB accounts from the June policy decision.
  • MNI (Beijing) -- China's exports registered a 3.2% y/y fall in H1, led by sliding demands from external economies as well as the high base effect, while imports fell 6.8% y/y, data released by China Customs on Thursday showed. Trade showed strong resilience in H1, especially as domestic production recovered rapidly after the pandemic, but global economic uncertainty still pressures trade stability and quality improvement, a customs spokesperson said.

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