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Henry Hub Rises on Weather, Lower Output

NATURAL GAS

Front month Henry Hub is trading higher but remains well below yesterday's high of $2.675/mmbtu, as a slight dip in production and forecasts for cooler weather are weighed against lower feedgas flows to US LNG terminals.

    • US Natgas FEB 24 up 1.9% at 2.62$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas JUL 24 up 1.1% at 2.75$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas JAN 25 up 0.5% at 3.86$/mmbtu
  • Lower 48 natural gas demand is relatively unchanged on the day at 98.06bcf/d but well above the five-year average of 93.8bcf/d according to Bloomberg. The latest weather forecast shows below normal temperatures spreading across from the west in the coming week but with above normal holding on the East Coast. Heating demand for the week to Jan 6 is forecast to be 31 HDD below the long term normal at 174 according to NOAA .
  • US natural gas production today fell to 103.69bcf/d, down from 104.97bcf/d yesterday and below the 30-day moving average of 105.05bcf/d.
  • Feedgas supplies to US LNG export terminals are down to 14.02bcf/d, from 14.72bcf/d yesterday and below the 30-day moving average of 14.63bcf/d. The drop in deliveries is due to a decline in flows to the Sabine Pass terminal to 4.32bcf/d, from 4.97bcf/d according to Bloomberg.
  • Export flows to Mexico are today at 5.199bcf/d according to Bloomberg.

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