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Holding Above $1.08, 200-Day EMA Provides Resistance

AUDNZD

AUD/NZD prints at $1.0810/20, the pair finished Wednesday's dealing ~0.4% lower and is little changed in early trade today.

  • The cross found resistance above the 200-Day EMA ($1.0845) in yesterday's session firming as the Kiwi unwound its early post-CPI gains. AUD/NZD was unable to sustain the move higher; the pair fell ~0.6% from session highs.
  • Rate differentials, observed via 2-Year Swaps, ticked wider yesterday and now sit at -108bps.
  • Bears first look to sustain a break of $1.08 to target the low from 14 July ($1.0726), this opens year to date lows ($1.0560).
  • On the upside bulls target yesterday's high ($1.0885), a break through here opens high from June 29 ($1.0924).
  • Australia's June Labor Market Report is due today, the headline unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 3.6% with a modest gain in jobs. Q2 NAB Business Survey from Australia is also due.
Fig 1: AUD/NZD Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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