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Holding Close To 160.00, Main Local Data Focus On Friday With Tokyo CPI Out

JPY

USD/JPY tracks around 159.65 in early Wednesday dealings, close to levels that prevailed in the early parts of Tuesday trade. Yen was close to unchanged for Tuesday's session, slightly outperforming some other parts of the G10 space. The BBDXY rose 0.16% for Tuesday's session.

  • USD/JPY continues to be supported on dips, we couldn't test sub earlier Tuesday lows of 159.19, while intra-session lows from Monday (158.82) also remained intact.
  • Upside focus rests firmly on the 160.00, given the late April breach above this level sparked intervention from the authorities. We have seen a step up in verbal rhetoric this week.
  • USD/JPY looks too elevated relative to softer US-JP yield momentum (nominal US cash Tsy yields ticked higher on spill over from stronger Canadian CPI in Tuesday trade), but underlying Fed-BoJ policy divergences remain wide, and the timing of the Fed easing cycle remains uncertain. This is limiting broader USD pull backs.
  • The local data calendar is empty until tomorrow's retail sales print. Focus will also rest on Friday's jobless data and Tokyo CPI print.
  • Note in the option expiry space the following for NY cut later today: Y158.90-00($2.2bln), Y159.40-50($1.4bln), Y159.75($568mln), Y160.00($878mln).

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