Free Trial

Holding Lower Post-NFPs As 75bp Fed Hike Increasingly Priced

GOLD

Gold deals ~$2/oz softer to print ~$1,693/oz, operating a little above Friday’s worst levels at writing. The precious metal has held on to the bulk of its losses from Friday as the USD (DXY) hovers just shy of two-week highs.

  • To recap, the precious metal closed ~$18 lower on Friday after falling to session lows (at $1,690.7/oz) as the release of better-than-expected U.S. NFPs saw expectations for Fed hawkishness return to the space, with the DXY and nominal U.S. Tsy yields pushing higher after.
  • Nov FOMC dated OIS now price in ~72 bp of tightening at that meeting, pointing to an ~88% chance of a 75bp rate hike, operating at around its highest level since the Sep FOMC.
  • Focus for gold now turns to U.S. CPI due later this week on Thursday.
  • From a technical perspective, gold has breached initial support at $1,695.2 (former trendline resistance), exposing further support at $1,659.7 (Oct 3 low). On the other hand, initial resistance is seen at $1,729.5 (Oct 4 high).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.