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Home Loans Softer But Momentum Strong

AUSTRALIA DATA

May home loan values fell 1.7% m/m after a strong rise of 4.8% the previous month and are still running at 18%y/y. With strong momentum and annual growth rates in double digits, May’s decline looks like payback for previous strength rather than the start of a downtrend. With robust working-age population growth, demand for housing remains strong.

  • Owner-occupied loans fell 2% m/m after an upwardly revised +4.5% in April to be up 12.2% y/y and investor loans fell 1.3%, driven by NSW, after rising 5.3% to be +29.5% y/y. Both components are seeing very strong 3-month momentum.
  • The value of first homebuyer loans fell 2.9% m/m to still be up 10.1% y/y but down from 18.5% in April. However, 3-month annualized momentum is around 37% signaling the sector remains robust.
  • Personal finance loans fell 0.7% m/m but are up 12.7% y/y with vehicle loans up 0.8% m/m.
Australia value of total new housing loans %

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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