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Household Savings Rate Increased For Sixth Month Running In March

US DATA
  • With the earlier PCE report, personal income (+0.3% M/M) and spending (0.0% M/M) were marginally stronger than expected in March but partly offset by revisions.
  • The real data offered exactly the same figures, with real disposable income increasing 0.3% M/M and real consumption a subdued 0.0% M/M after -0.2% M/M with the quarter’s strength coming from the 1.4% jump in January.
  • It saw the saving ratio increase 0.3pts to 5.1%, the sixth monthly increase for its highest since Dec’21.
  • This level of savings rate is still far below the pre-pandemic trend but sees a slower pace at which it eats into “excess savings” accumulated through the pandemic (having been subtracting around $250B per quarter in 2H22 from these built-up savings to an estimated $1.2T in Q4).

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