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Housing Only Slightly Overvalued Now

AUSTRALIA

With rents up 4.9% y/y in Q1 and house prices down 8.9%, housing was only 2.3% overvalued down from 6.4% in Q4 and 19.6% in Q1 2022, as measured by the ratio of house prices to CPI rents. Housing may no longer return to “fair value” going forward as rents are expected to rise further. But this will depend on how far prices rise, as the Q2 average already increases the degree of overvaluation to 2.5% assuming rents rise at Q1’s quarterly pace.

Australia housing valuation

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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