Free Trial

HSBC's main takeaway from its most recent....>

DOLLAR
DOLLAR: HSBC's main takeaway from its most recent USD survey & positioning
analysis is "that there is still plenty to play for in FX. The bears may be
coming out of hibernation again but they have not fully awoken yet:
- Market participants are leaning towards a weaker USD, but it is far from a
convincing majority.
- Cyclical factors are seen as the main driver likely to cause USD weakness. We
view this as the soft form of the USD bear argument.
- 25% of respondents are bullish on the USD. We were surprised by this given how
few interactions we have had recently with market participants who expect USD
appreciation."
- HSBC themselves have "little conviction in an overwhelming USD trend. For now,
we are happy to take a neutral view on the USD. Our conviction for
outperformance lies in currencies with better fiscal dynamics and less reliance
on central bank balance sheet expansion such as the AUD, NOK, NZD and SEK, while
we would steer clear of those at the other end of the spectrum such as GBP, EUR
and CAD."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.