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Hungary May CPI Steady at 5.1%

HUNGARY
  • Hungary May CPI came in slightly lower than expected at 5.1% (vs. 5.3% exp.), reducing slightly the pressure on NBH policymakers to start a hiking cycle.
  • Core CPI is up to 3.4% in May (from 3.2% the previous month), implying that core prices are still standing below the NBH 4-percent upper tolerance.
  • In the past few months, we have seen that the spike in inflation has led to an in disagreements between NBH policymakers over the trajectory of rates in the coming months.
  • USDHUF has been retracing higher in the past few days, testing its 287 resistance; a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 290 and 294.70 (50D SMA). On the downside, first support stands at 283, followed by 280.
  • Hungary 10Y yield continues to retrace lower and is currently trading slightly above its 50D SMA at 2.82%; next level to watch on the downside stands at 2.72%, followed by 2.66% (100D SMA). On the topside, first resistance stands at 3%.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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