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HUNGARY: Varga Seen as Sympathetic, But Little Change at NBH in S/T

HUNGARY
  • As broadly expected, PM Orban has appointed finance minister Varga as the new governor of the NBH. Operations and policy at the bank are unlikely to shift considerably as a result, with financial stability via a volatile FX rate and stubborn inflation likely to remain a priority.
  • What the appointment should stabilise is government-central bank relations, with Varga seen as a sympathetic voice for government priorities – which may raise the prospects of rapid rate cuts next year given the new management team will be issued a mandate directly from the PM.
  • In his first comments since the appointment, Varga has stated that he will serve for the stability and prosperity of the Hungarian people.
  • PPI data out this morning came in higher, at 2.6% Y/Y (Prev. 0.9%) and 1.0% M/M (Prev. -0.4%). Meanwhile the unemployment rate was unchanged, as expected, at 4.5%.
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  • As broadly expected, PM Orban has appointed finance minister Varga as the new governor of the NBH. Operations and policy at the bank are unlikely to shift considerably as a result, with financial stability via a volatile FX rate and stubborn inflation likely to remain a priority.
  • What the appointment should stabilise is government-central bank relations, with Varga seen as a sympathetic voice for government priorities – which may raise the prospects of rapid rate cuts next year given the new management team will be issued a mandate directly from the PM.
  • In his first comments since the appointment, Varga has stated that he will serve for the stability and prosperity of the Hungarian people.
  • PPI data out this morning came in higher, at 2.6% Y/Y (Prev. 0.9%) and 1.0% M/M (Prev. -0.4%). Meanwhile the unemployment rate was unchanged, as expected, at 4.5%.