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Ibovespa Breaks Below 38.2% Fibo Support

BRAZIL
  • The sharp correction in BRL (i.e. USD strength) in Q2 has been weighing on Brazilian equities, which have now erased most of their Q1 gains.
  • Support for the USD has been surging since the beginning of April, mainly driven by the renewed geopolitical tensions, surging stagflation risk and rising recession risks (particularly in Europe).
    • DXY index has been testing the 104 psychological resistance in the past week; a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 107.31 (Dec 2002 high).
  • Ibovespa broke below its 104,640 support this week, which corresponds to the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 61,690 – 131,190 range.
  • Next level to watch on the downside stands at 100,000.

Source: Bloomberg

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