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Ifo Sees Outlook Worsen

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY SEP IFO BUSINESS CLIMATE 84.3 (FCST 87.0); AUG 88.6r

GERMANY SEP IFO CURRENT ASSESSMENT 94.5 (FCST 96.0); AUG 97.5

GERMANY SEP IFO EXPECTATIONS 75.2 (FCST 79.0); AUG 80.5r

  • The German Ifo business survey slumped to the lowest since May 2020 as outlooks across manufacturing, services, trade and construction all fell further into pessimistic territory. Ifo continues to expect a Q3 contraction.
  • The headline index, current assessment and expectations indexes again fell further than expected.
  • Acute concerns regarding inflation and gas/energy supply shortages remain key issues headed into year-end. Although Friday's PMIs saw supply chain issues easing, this effect has clearly been overshadowed by gloomy economic growth outlooks.
  • On Wednesday the GfK consumer confidence index will be released, likely to slide to a fresh low and generate further concern for the ECB as they hike into a recession.

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