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Free AccessImpact of Freeport LNG Outage for US and Europe
Freeport LNG have extended the export terminal outage from “at least 3 weeks” with partial restart now expected in 90 days and full operations not expected until late 2022. US Natgas is now down 16.3% to 7.21$/mmbtu and TTF is up 14.5% to 95.5€/MWh. The volume of the partial restart is not yet known.
- The extended outage at Freeport LNG could make more gas available to fill US storage which currently stands 19% below seasonal normal levels. Approximately 2bcf/d of gas was delivered to the terminal before the outage with the force majeure stopping 10-12 cargoes in June even before the extension.
- The reverse impact could be felt on storage in Europe. LNG imports are vital for European energy security and to meet EU targets of 80% gas storage by the 1st November. The missing supply from Freeport LNG could result in Europe looking away from US for further LNG supplies. Gas spreads should encourage spot cargo flows to Europe over Asia.
- Lower pipeline supplies through Nord Stream are also adding to the upward pressure on European gas prices. Flows of 100mcm/d are expected instead of recent levels nearer 140mcm/d and a max of 167mcm/d. Repairs to full Nord stream flows could take some time with a key turbine unable to return from maintenance in Canada due to sanctions.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.