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Implied Rate Pricing Settling In Around 25Bp and Done

STIR

Monday's implied market pricing rate cuts by midyear have pushed back out to end of 2023/early 2024 as short end rates remain well offered.
Fed funds implied hike for Mar'23 currently at 19.9bp, May'23 cumulative 36.0bp to 4.938%, Jun'23 28.7bp to 4.868%. Fed Terminal currently at 4.925% in May vs. 4.785% early Monday.
Current Implied rate cuts compared to Monday: Sep'23 cumulative 0.00 at 4.579, Nov'23 -9.5 at 4.484%, Dec'23 -20.1 at 4.377. In comparison, early Monday saw Jul'23 cumulative -36.5 at 4.218, Sep'23 -55.5 at 4.028%.


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