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INDEX: TECHS: Monitoring A Reversal Pattern

DOLLAR

Is the USD Index (DXY) about to reverse direction?

  • Price action since Jul 31 highlights a potential reversal pattern, an inverted head and shoulders (H&S). This suggests bearish sentiment has weakened since early August.
  • A break of the neckline would confirm the pattern and a reversal.
  • A bear channel is also evident. The top would be the first objective.
  • A break of the channel top would signal a much stronger reversal.
  • Note, momentum as highlighted by the 14-day RSI is rising. This suggests a break higher would likely have momentum behind it, reinforcing a bullish condition.
  • A failure to confirm a reversal means the downtrend remains intact.
  • Key resistance levels to watch:
    • 93.60 - H&S neckline and first reversal confirmation.
    • 94.94 - Bear channel top drawn off the Mar 23 high.




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