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Industrial Production Adds to Upside Beats

ITALY DATA
MNI (London)

ITALY MAY SA IND OUTPUT+1.6% M/M (APR RVSD DN -2.0% M/M); WDA -3.7%Y/Y

  • Italian industrial production posted a sturdy +1.6% m/m uptick in May, outpacing expectations of +0.6% m/m growth and rebounding from the -2.0% m/m contraction recorded in April.
  • The m/m increase was broad-based across consumer, capital, intermediate and energy goods production.
  • This broke a four-month streak of contractionary m/m prints in Italian production, yet the sector remains in troubled waters with the three-month rolling average firmly contractive at -1.8% 3m/3m, implying a drag on Q2 GDP.
  • Recent PMI data has been especially downbeat, signalling the strongest decline since April 2021 in June and flagging acute weakness in demand conditions.
  • Compared to 2022, May production remained down -3.7%.
  • So far, the May IP data saw France and Spain surprise to the upside, while German data disappointed with a small contraction. Yet the Italian boost means that a better outcome than the +0.3% m/m pencilled in by consensus for the aggregate print (due Thurs) is likely.


Source: ISTAT

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