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Industrial Production Flat in Q1

FRANCE DATA
MNI (London)

FRANCE MAR IND PROD -1.1% M/M (FCST -0.4%); FEB +1.4% M/M

FRANCE MAR IND PROD -0.1% Y/Y (FCST 1.1%); FEB +0.9% Y/Y

  • Kicking off the round of eurozone IP data, French industrial production contracted by -1.1% m/m in March, slightly worse than the -0.4% m/m dip expected by consensus.
  • Refining noted the largest decline, falling -45.6% m/m largely due to strike action.
  • Production declined across capital goods (-0.9%) and slightly in agro-food (-0.2%), whilst transport was marginally expansive (+0.2% m/m) due to continued automotive growth, boosted by easing supply chain pressures.
  • Q1 2023 IP was flat on the quarter and down -0.6% q/q for manufacturing.
  • Looking forward, April's manufacturing PMI signalled a contractionary start to Q2, and the fastest deterioration in business conditions since May 2020. Weakening demand (especially in exports) saw new orders fall at the fastest pace since 2020. As such, French industrial sector outlooks remain stagnant.


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