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Industrial Production M/M Likely to Be Skewed Lower by Ireland

EUROZONE DATA

Eurozone industrial production in June is due for release later today and from the eurozone member readings received so far we are tracking industrial production M/M closer to flat than the 0.5% M/M Bloomberg consensus (accounting for 99.4% of eurozone industrial production weighting) for the eurozone overall.

  • The decline is driven by Ireland which saw industrial production fall 7.8% M/M (vs 5.4% prior) - making it the largest decline since January 2024, followed by Belgium which saw its steepest sequential deterioration since April 2023 printing -6.5% M/M.
  • Of the 6 major eurozone members, Germany followed by France and Italy restrained the downside move. Germany industrial production rose 1.6% M/M (contributing between 0.5-0.6ppts to industrial production), while France and Italy edged up 0.7% and 0.5%.

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