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Industrials: Week in Review

CAPITAL GOODS


  • Industrial spreads widened 1-2bp on the week, with outliers mainly smaller non-core issuers. Recent issuer K+S stands out at +6bp.
  • Earnings are naturally in focus now. Evonik and Lanxess posted beats and guidance upgrades. SKF, Sandvik, ABB and Investor results were benign, while PPG disappointed. Surprisingly Lanxess spreads didn’t move a great deal with equity and CDS much more reactive. Effiage, Alstom, Norsk Hydro, Akzo Nobel, Thales, Alfa Laval, Stora Enso, Metso, Amphenol, WAB, Anglo American, Dover, Eastman, Bouygues, Holcim, Veralto, Saint Gobain, BASF, ACS, Air Liquide, Signify and 3M report next week.
  • Higher utilisation rates at Lanxess will raise hopes of a sector bottom after a harsh destocking cycle. Green shoots are appearing, but conditions appear mixed still at the subsector level.
  • No such turn in metals sentiment, with the copper price chart looking ugly. The Third Plenum failed to bring measures to support China property. Most markets remain oversupplied in the short term despite the longer-term bullish demand picture.

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