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Free AccessInflation Data Due Thursday, Itaú Expecting Core Deceleration
- Mid-October IPCA inflation will be released on Thursday where annual headline inflation is expected to dip to 5.04% from 5.19% in the full September read. Analysts point to slowing pressures from transportation costs and lower food prices, which tend to offset the expected seasonal acceleration in apparel prices. The data will likely reinforce the expectations for another 50bp rate cut at the monetary policy meeting next week.
- Itaú are expecting a slightly weaker print than the surveyed median estimate. They expect inflation to decelerate to 0.14% (from 0.35% in September), with gasoline and electrical energy posting some deflation. Regarding core inflation, Itaú expect additional deceleration at the margin with underlying industrial growth around 1.5% from 1.9% in September (3mma saar) and underlying services growth roughly stable at 4.2% (3mma saar).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.