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Free AccessInflation Release Bolsters March Hike, But Will More Be Needed
- CPI coming in higher than expected will bolster the already-consensus view for a March 25bps hike (infitting with January Norges communications), but may raise questions about whether more tightening is required beyond Q1.
- Q1 inflation was projected at 5.86% in December, 5.76% in Q2.
- NOK has strengthened marginally, and FRA pricing is relatively unscathed so far, but the print could be a cause for concern in the next wave of wage bargaining, set to kick off over spring.
- The TBU (Norwegian Technical Calculation Committee for Wage Settlements) are set to outline their expectations for 2023 inflation in February, which will form a basis of negotiations across the coming months. While NB still see no wage-price spiral, today's data remains uncomfortable.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.