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Inflaton data due at 7:00GMT / 8:00CET

SWEDEN
MNI (London)
  • Swedish headline inflation is expected by consesnsus to tick upwards to +4.1% y/y in the Riksbank-targeted underlying CPIF print, up 0.2 points from January and bringing it back to the December peak. The Riksbank forecast is marginally lower than consensus at 4.0%y/y. On the month an expansion of +0.4% is anticipated, regaining expansionary momentum, following January’s -0.5%.
  • The January deceleration was largely due to a decline in energy prices, as state compensation for electricity costs came into effect in December. Sweden is largely self-sufficient in its energy production, however global market prices have created a spill-over price effect.
  • CPIF ex energy is expected by consensus at 3.0%y/y, 0.7ppt above the Riksbank's 2.3%y/y forecast.
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