Free Trial

ING note that "the Chinese government.........>

CHINA
CHINA: ING note that "the Chinese government requests a pool of future
infrastructure projects. This means the government is prepared to dig in for a
longer-term fight in the trade war with the US. This also implies that the
Chinese government might depend on investment to support the economy for a
longer time. Our GDP forecasts are still intact as we consider the government's
fiscal stimulus sufficient to provide support as trade tension escalates. We
project GDP growth at 6.3%YoY in 4Q18, 6.2%YoY in 1H19, and 6.3%YoY in 2H19. But
we do expect USDCNY to continue to weaken if the trade war continues. We are
keeping our forecast of USD/CNY and USD/CNH at 7.0 by end of 2018 but have
weakened the yuan pairs forecasts to 7.30 by end of 2019 (previously at 6.50)."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.